Paper published in Sexual Health, 7(4) 463–470, November 2010. doi:10.1071/SH09080. The authors developed a mathematical model to simulate HIV propagation within a MSM population. Conclusions: "The results of these calculations suggest that circumcision as a public health intervention will not produce a substantial decrease in HIV prevalence or incidence among MSM in the near future, and only modest reductions are achievable in the long-term."